Tuesday, January 04, 2011

Straight, No Chaser

We were right primed this morning to award the Jean Genet Memorial Trophy (popularly know as the Ungreased Broomstick) to the first writer out of the box in 2011 with a death-of-the-euro/Spain-bailout story. Disappointingly, FT Alphaville was the only contestant.

On the left is a screenshot (from Bloomberg) of today's Spain 10-year yield. That tumble at 5 AM NY time coincides with word getting out that BBVA's 1 billion euro covered bond issue was oversubscribed.

Given the new order attendant on Germany's insistence that sovereign bond holders share in the pain of a restructuring, one shouldn't expect the Spain 10 to yield under 4 percent any time soon. But spreads should tighten - at least in the short term.

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1 Comments:

santcugat said...

If EU-country issued bonds in 2013 are going to include a collective action clause, does this mean that all bonds issued prior to that are going to effectively be more senior debt?